Orioles vs Yankees Predictions, Picks, Odds — 7-14 (2024)

Aaron Judge is firing on all cylinders right now and has two dingers in as many games in this series. With a favorable matchup against Dean Kremer on Sunday, the Yankees superstar highlights our MLB betting picks below.

Orioles vs Yankees Predictions, Picks, Odds — 7-14 (1)

Eric Rosales • Betting Analyst

Jul 14, 2024 • 08:15 ET • 4 min read

Having lost a series to an AL East foe for the first time since April 2023, the Baltimore Orioles are also in danger of losing the top spot to the New York Yankees on Sunday.New York sent the Orioles tumbling to their fifth straight loss, and with a series sweep, could supplant Baltimore at the top of the division in the O’s last game before the All-Star break.

The books aren’t exactly expecting a bounceback, listing Baltimore as a slight -118 favorite in the MLB odds.For our betting purposes, our free MLB picks focus on baseball’s premier long-ball hitter and a favorable matchup.

Yankees vs Orioles prediction

My best bet
Aaron Judge Over 0.5 home runs (+155 at DraftKings)

Best odds available in your region

My analysis

Aaron Judge has been mashing the Baltimore Orioles pitching in this series. He connected on his second home run in as many games on Saturday, a towering 431-foot drive over the center field wall at Camden Yards. That gives him 34 homers on the campaign. In the heralded history ofNew York Yankees greats, he's now hit the most long balls before the All-Star break, besting a mark of 33 that he shared with Roger Maris.

After a seven-game homerless drought, Judge has come alive against the Orioles, and now he gets righty Dean Kremer, who’s 4-5 on the year and coming off a shelling last outing against the Cubs. He lasted just four innings, giving up seven hits and five earned runs, including getting taken yard on two occasions, en route to a 9-2 loss.

To be fair, he's had success against the Yankees. In an April start, he tied a season-best by going seven innings, scattering four hits and two runs in a 4-2 win. He kept Judge off the stat sheet that day, as he went 0-for-3.

That was before Judge really took off, though, capping a month where he hit just .207 with six homers.Since then, he’s blasted 27, upped his average to .308, and leads the bigs in homers, RBI, and an impressive 1.114 OPS.

In 12 career at-bats against Kremer, Judge is hitting .333. Of those four hits, three of them have left the ballpark.It just feels like a fitting way for him to put a cap in this momentous series, with big fly No. 35.

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Yankees vs Orioles same-game parlay (SGP)

Aaron Judge Over 0.5 home runs

Juan Soto Over 1.5 total bases

Carlos Rodon Over 5.5 hits allowed

+750 at DraftKings

Juan Soto has been doing just fine alongside Judge’s work, as he went yard Saturday for his 23rd of the season.He now has hits in four straight games and he’s also grabbed 2+ total bases in each.In a small sample size, Soto has also done very well against Kremer, with two hits in four at-bats, including a home run and RBI. He should continue to mash Sunday.

All this Yankees offense might be needed to support starter Carlos Rodon, who has given up 4+ earned runs in four of his last five outings.He's getting plus odds to allow more than 5.5 hits, something he’s done in back-to-back starts.

However, those have come against the Reds and Rays, two teams in the Bottom 8 in hits this season.The O’s are a Top-5 unit and have already roughed him up once this year, chasing him after four innings, tagging him for eight hits and six earned runs in a 7-2 win back in May.

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

Yankees vs Orioles odds

Yankees vs Orioles live odds

Yankees vs Orioles opening odds

  • Run line: New York +1.5 (-200) | Baltimore -1.5 (+165)
  • Moneyline: New York +100 | Baltimore -120
  • Over/Under: Over 9 | Under 9

Yankees vs Orioles spread and Over/Under analysis

  • The Yankees won have three of their last four games.
  • The Orioles are just 2-6 in their last eight games as moneyline favorites.
  • The Under is 3-6-1 in the last 10 meetings.
  • Baltimore has cashed the Under in four straight games.

Yankees vs Orioles trend

The Yankees have lost nine of their last 10 against AL East opponents following a win. Find more MLB betting trends for Yankees vs. Orioles

Yankees vs Orioles game info

Location:Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, MD
Date:Sunday, 7-14-2024
First pitch:11:35 a.m. ET
TV:Roku
Yankees starting pitcher:Carlos Rodon
(9-6, 4.46 ERA)
Orioles starting pitcher:Dean Kremer
(4-4, 3.93 ERA)

Yankees vs Orioles latest injuries

Yankees vs Orioles weather

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Orioles vs Yankees Predictions, Picks, Odds — 7-14 (2024)

FAQs

What are the odds for the Orioles to win the World Series? ›

Latest 2024 World Series Betting Odds
The EliteThe ContendersThe Pretenders
Orioles +625Mets +4000Rays +15000
Braves +1000Royals +4000Pirates +17500
Astros +1500Cardinals +5000Reds +20000
Guardians +1700Rangers +6000Blue Jays +35000
4 more rows

What are baseball odds? ›

Baseball odds are expressed as 3-digit money line. All money lines are based on $100. All baseball bets are action regardless of the starting pitcher. The minus (-) on the electronic wagering display and wagering sheets next to the starting pitcher indicates the favorite. The plus (+) indicates the underdog.

Who is predicted to win the World Series in 2024? ›

As we reach the July 30 trade deadline, the Los Angeles Dodgers remain the favorites to win the World Series. The Dodgers opened at +550, moved to +450 after signing Shohei Ohtani in the offseason and now sit at 3-1 at ESPN BET.

How often do underdogs win in baseball? ›

According to a report by Odds Shark, the win percentage of underdogs in Major League Baseball (MLB) is **41.6%** ¹. The same report also states that large underdogs, defined as teams that are getting +300 or more, win about **20%** of the time ².

What is the most common bet in baseball? ›

There are two main types of basic bets in baseball: the money line and the total. We'll start with a money line because it's the most common bet. With a money line bet, you simply choose the team you think will win the game.

What does +200 odds mean? ›

In American sports betting, odds are typically expressed with a plus (+) or minus (–) symbol followed by a number. For example, +200 signifies the amount a bettor could win if wagering $100. If the bet works out, the player would receive a total payout of $300 ($200 profit + $100 initial stake).

What are the Orioles chances of making the playoffs? ›

Latest Orioles Odds: Playoffs, AL East, World Series & More
🏆 Orioles World Series Odds+750
🏟️ Orioles Playoff Odds-5000
🚩 Orioles American League Odds+330
🥇 Orioles AL East Odds-125
👑 Gunnar Henderson MVP Odds+600
4 more rows

Who has the highest odds to win the World Series? ›

Here are the World Series odds at DraftKings Sportsbook.
  • Los Angeles Dodgers: +330.
  • Philadelphia Phillies: +500.
  • New York Yankees: +600.
  • Baltimore Orioles: +700.
  • Atlanta Braves: +900.
  • Houston Astros: +1300.
  • Cleveland Guardians: +1300.
  • Minnesota Twins: +1600.
Jul 22, 2024

What does +450 odds mean? ›

If you were to bet $10 on +450 odds you would receive $45.00 in profit if this outcome won. Odds accompanied with a positive sign (+) indicate that this is the underdog and this outcome will have a lower chance of winning compared to a favorite, however underdogs will yield a higher profit if they win.

What are the odds of Phillies winning the World Series? ›

The Phillies are a 17-to-5 favorite to win the World Series. The Dodgers are second at 7-to-2 followed by the Yankees (7/2), Baltimore (7/1), Atlanta (10/1), Cleveland (14/1) and Houston (14/1).

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